Brother+Rice+Politics

-- East Kentwood --
//**A) Uniqueness – Obama has political capital to get the surge through – but Republicans are key**

The Washington Times, October 9th 2009//

__Despite that assessment, Rep. John P. Murtha ... depending on what it is."__

//**B) Link - See New Trier

c) Impacts - Small footprint Afghanistan strategy results in Al Qaeda control of Afghanistan and Pakistan and nuclear war with India**

Frederick W. Kagan is a resident scholar at AEI. Kimberly Kagan is president of the Institute for the Study of War, “ Don't Go Wobbly on Afghanistan”, AEI, Oct 12th 2009//

__"To defeat an enemy that heeds ... Indo-Pakistani war might break out involving the use of nuclear weapons.__

**-- New Trier --**
//**A) Uniqueness – Obama will ask for and get an Afghan surge now – but the vote will be close**//

//Sammon 9/15/2009 “Troop increase in Afghanistan looks certain”, http://blog.kiplinger.com/politics/2009/09/obama-afghanistan-by-the-numbe.html//

__President Obama will get tacit ... expected in a week or two__

//**B) Link – GOP hates the plan**//

//Huffington Post ‘9 – 07/02/09 - “Hypocrisy in Red and Blue: How Republicans and Democrats Betray Their Principles Differently” – http://www.huffingtonpost.com/stephen-ducat/hypocrisy-in-red-and-blue_b_225143.html//

__But that only serves ... social woes in their view.__

//**Second - GOP Key to the surge – If Obama angers GOP voters they will thwart his efforts in Afghanistan**//

//The International Herald Tribune, September 4th 2009//

__As President Barack Obama prepares ... to Bush with Iraq,'' Mr. Graham said.__

//**C) Impact – Surge is make or break for Pakistan**//

//Wall Street Journal, WSJ 9-3-09, http://www.e-ariana.com/ariana/eariana.nsf/allPrintDocs/01489F20504B818E87257626000B84FF?OpenDocument//

__A U.S. withdrawal would also complicate ... This, too, would only help al Qaeda.__

//**D) Nuclear war**//

//HNA July 15, 2007 (Hindutva News Analysis) http://64.233.167.104/search?q =cache:ft9cT9nqp_4J:hindutva .org/indopakwar.html+musharraf +coup+pakistan+war+india&hl=en &ct=clnk&cd=7&gl=us//

__Pakistan insurgency causes nuclear ... Pakistan as a self-saving measure__