China+war+good

1. War with China is inevitable

A. Chinese transition from communism to fascism cause power struggles
** Frisch 05 **  Research Ed/geopolitical analyst for HSL(Itntl. investment,economic, geopolitical newsletter) (Gordon, Commentary on Global Issues, 3/5 http://www.jrnyquist.com __/ frisch_2005_0621.htm__)   The Continent of Asia is torn...area of control) are essentially brrowed from PACOM.    

B. Chinese energy concerns spark international conflict
Energy, PINR, February 25, 2005, http://www.isn.ethz.ch/news/ sw/details.cfm?ID=10840) As __China has made limited progress in accessing ...__ vital strategic interests are not threatened. <span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 6pt;"> <span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 6pt;">
 * Bajpaee 05, ** Researcher for Civic Exchange, HK-based think-tank and for Intl. Inst for Strategic Studies, Chietigi China's Quest for

C. Chinese preparations prove intent – they want a war and will spark one no matter what – we indict your authors
Nyquist 05, renowned expert in geopolitics and international relations, [JR Geopolitical Global Analyst "Recent China Revelations" WeeklyColumn July 1] [ct] http://www.financialsense. com/stormwatch/geo/ pastanalysis/2005/0701.html] <span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;">__China’s war preparations are deliberate...__ Claus isn’t a real person – and never will be. <span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 6pt;">

A. China will run us out of the pacific by 2010– if we don't fight now we'll lose naval superiority and the war
<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;"><span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;">__The U__nited __<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;">S __<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;">tates is __<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;">headed for a naval war with China..<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;">sustained effort today can make all the difference. __ <span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;"><span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;">
 * <span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 12pt;">Lt. Clausen 05, **<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;"> Air traffic Control Consultant, Former Military Ed. w/ Aviation Week & Space Tech, 2005 (Perry, Thinking About China's Navy, Proceedings of the United States Naval Institute, 0041798X, May2005, Vol. 131, Issue 5)

B. China will test in order to modernize their arsenal
<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;">__If China were to increase its strategic nuclear...__<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;">Treaty as well. Does that give us greater security? <span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;">
 * <span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 12pt;">Jannuzi 00 **<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;"> Frank, 10-13, (Missile Defense and East Asia: Downsideand Risks An Address. www.icasinc.org/f2000/ f2000fsj.html)

C. That will cause extinction and split the Earth in half
<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;">However, __<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;">the military seem to ignore __<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;"> the fact that a neutron...<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;">__circumstances, may even cause the entire planet to be demolished.__ <span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;">
 * Chalko 03 ** Thomas, 3-3, (Can a Neutron Bomb Accelerate GlobalVolcanic Activity?" Vol. 4 NU Journal of Discovery)

D. Chinese modernization would spur uncontrolled international proliferation
<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;"><span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;">Because this scenario involves a significant __<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;">expansion...<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;">the rationale for a forward-based US presence in Northeast Asia. __ <span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;"><span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;">
 * <span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 12pt;">Sanders and Jing-Dong 00 **<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;"> Phillip and Yuan, (China's Strategic ForceModernization: Issues and Implications in Proliferation Challenges andNonproliferation Opportunities for New Administrations. OccasionalPaper No. 4. Center for Nonproliferation Studies, July, http://cns.miis.edu/cns/ projects/eanp/conf/op4_sjd.pdf )

E. That causes extinction
<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 6pt;">First, <span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;"> __the dynamics of getting to a highly proliferated...<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;">bodies of dead cities or even whole nations. __
 * Utgoff in ’02 **(Victor, Deputy Director for Strategy, Forces and Resources at the Institute for Defense Analyses, Survival, “Proliferation, Missile Defense and American Ambitions”, Volume 44, Number 2, Summer, p. 87-90)

F. no risk of your impact scenario – as long as we fight before China overtakes us, we’ll win easily – one Trident submarine can deal with the entire Chinese arsenal 7 times over
<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;">Although definitely a menacing capability, __China...<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;">Deterrence under these conditions would seem to be assured. __ <span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;"><span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;">
 * <span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 12pt;">Godwin **<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;">, Prof Intl Affairs National War College, visiting Prof at Chinese National Defense University, **<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 12pt;">2k **<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;">(Paul HB Washington Journal of Modern China. China's Defense Modernization: Aspirations and Capabilities http://www.ndu.edu/inss/ symposia/pacific2000/ godwinpaper.htm)

A. China will not strike first – respect for international arms control
<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;">International Arms Control The third reason is...<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;">__nuclear weapons in the name of national interests.__ <span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;"> <span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;">China’s International Reputation Fourth, __a change ...<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;">country is backed by the United States?" __
 * <span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 12pt;">Zhenqiang 5 **<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;"> (Pan, Professor of International Relations at the Institute for Strategic Studies, National Defence University of the People’s Liberation Army of China, retired Major General of the People’s Liberation Army, “China Insistence on No-First-Use of Nuclear Weapons”, China Security (World Security Institute China Program), Autumn 2005 Issue No 1
 * B. China will not strike first – international reputation **
 * <span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 12pt;">Zhenqiang 5 **<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman','serif'; font-size: 10pt;"> (Pan, Professor of International Relations at the Institute for Strategic Studies, National Defence University of the People’s Liberation Army of China, retired Major General of the People’s Liberation Army, “China Insistence on No-First-Use of Nuclear Weapons”, China Security (World Security Institute China Program), Autumn 2005 Issue No 1.